What is the Actual Risk?
You agree a sale price in euros. Several months later, at completion, you receive those euros and convert them into your home currency. If the euro has weakened against your currency in the meantime, the same number of euros buys fewer pounds, francs or kronor than you expected when you agreed the price. That is the loss this article is about. Note the direction, because it is often stated backwards. A weaker home currency works in your favour as a seller: your euros convert into more of it. The scenario that costs you money is a strengthening home currency, or equivalently a falling euro, between price agreement and payment. A Greek sale typically takes a few months from accepted offer to completed deed, since the seller's documents (energy certificate, tax clearances, engineer's report) need to be gathered or refreshed before the notary can act. That timeline is your exposure window.
How Much Money is Realistically at Stake?
Over a window of three to six months, major currency pairs such as euro to pound or euro to dollar usually move a few percent. Larger swings happen, but they are tied to genuine shocks rather than normal market conditions; the pound's drop after the 2016 Brexit referendum is the textbook example, not a planning scenario. The arithmetic is still worth doing. On a €300,000 sale, a 3% move against you is €9,000, and a 5% move is €15,000. Whether that is an acceptable risk or a problem depends less on the percentage than on your plans. If the proceeds are earmarked for a house purchase or a fixed commitment in your home currency, an unfavourable move hits you directly. If the money has no immediate destination, you can afford to be more relaxed.
What are the Main Ways to Protect Yourself?
A forward contract fixes today's exchange rate for a conversion on a future date. You know from the moment you book it exactly what your euros will be worth in your home currency, regardless of what the market does. Fees are typically low, and for most sellers who simply want certainty, this is the standard tool. The trade-off is that a forward is binding in both directions. You give up any benefit if the euro strengthens, and you are committed to delivering the euros on the agreed date. That second point matters more than most articles admit, and we come back to it below.
A currency option gives you the right, without the obligation, to convert at a guaranteed rate. If the market moves against you, you exercise the option; if it moves in your favour, you let it lapse and convert at the better market rate. That flexibility costs an upfront premium, which makes options more expensive than forwards and generally more suitable for larger amounts or genuinely uncertain timelines.
Waiting for a better rate is not really protection, it is taking the risk and hoping. It can make sense if you have no deadline for converting and no fixed plans for the money, but it requires accepting that the rate may also move further against you.